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2008 - GOOD NEWS, BAD NUMBERS Fixed Costs A Problem In 2009
The good news is that when faced with lower levels of
business in 2008, U.S. hotel managers cut operating costs by 0.3 percent.
Unfortunately, total hotel revenues dropped 1.3 percent, resulting in a 3.8
percent decline in net operating income for the average U.S. hotel according to
the 2009 edition of Trends® in the Hotel Industry . Given the depth and breadth of the continuing economic downturn, further expense cuts will not be enough to offset the anticipated declines in revenue in 2009.
Forecasts of a double-digit decline in rooms revenue per available room (RevPAR) during 2009 are troubling enough. However, for the lenders, owners, and managers of U.S. hotels, the real concern is the impact on profitability. While the fall-off in lodging performance was not as great last year as it will be in 2009, an analysis of the 2008 data could prove instructive as a guide to how U.S. hotel managers will react this year as business levels continue to deteriorate.
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